Random Prediction Podcasts

In his study of causation J. L. Mackie once referred back to David Hume, who listed causation among one of the principles that are TO US THE CEMENT OF THE UNIVERSE and thus OF VAST CONSEQUENCE IN THE SCIENCE OF HUMAN NATURE (David Hume, AN ABSTRACT OF A “TREATISE OF HUMAN NATURE”). Yet for example the early endeavours of the developers of the Structural Equation Modelling (SEM) framework, which aimed at embedding causal meaning into the formal treatment, seem to be neglected, and David Lewis’ counterfactual analysis of causation based on his possible worlds semantics does not come very handy for application. As Judea Pearl summarises: WE ARE WITNESSING ONE OF THE MOST BIZARRE CIRCLES IN THE HISTORY OF SCIENCE: CAUSALITY IN SEARCH OF A LANGUAGE AND, SIMULTANEOUSLY, THE LANGUAGE OF CAUSALITY IN SEARCH OF ITS MEANING (Judea Pearl, CAUSALITY, 2000). Borrowing mathematical rigour from statistics, one of the most prominent areas of causal modelling today sounds out the interaction of probabilistic and deterministic approaches and is centred around Bayesian Networks, through which causal notions can be identified concretely and utilised for various disciplines eventually.

Categories: Uncategorised

Tags: Bayes, Causality, Causation, cause, deterministic, effect, Epistemology, Intervention, Judea Pearl, network, prediction, probabilistic

Ever wondered how opinion polls work? As election fever grows – so does the importance of opinion polls which today are an essential part of modern political life. Political strategists, voters and the media all lap up the data generated – but where does it come from? How many people do you need to interview to get trustworthy data? and just how easy is it to predict the future based on the opinions of the present?

Categories: Uncategorised

Tags: accuracy, election, electoral system, electorate, exit Poll, media, opinion polls, politicians, pollsters, prediction, representation, results, sample, seats, statistics, vote, voter, voting

40 years ago Jim Davis birthed a tubby orange oracle into the Universe. We haven’t been able to get enough ever since. Join us as we plumb the depths of Garfield. Exploring his mystic existence, and plumbing the depths of his three panels like the lasagna loving, spider hating, tarot cards they truly are.

Categories: Comedy, Religion & Spirituality

Tags: Comedy, cosmic, crystals, garfield, mystic, prediction, psychic, Sublimation, tarot

This award-winning series explores The Future of Everything. What can we expect of next week, next year, next century? What will we eat, drive, wear, live in, vote for, want to buy, and want to avoid? What mistakes of the past will we make again, and which ones have we learned from? From the next tick of the clock to the ultimate end of the universe, every subject is fair game. Composed of interviews and essays, it’s hosted by the author and futurist Stephen Euin Cobb. Guests include: famous authors and the occasional celebrity, but mostly futurists, innovators, technologists, analysts, entrepreneurs, and those pushing the limits of technology, as well as those struggling to understand the trends growing strong around us now–since it is those trends which will create the future in which we will all live. This program is not about magic, or prophecy, or psychic divination. Instead, we attempt to use verifiable facts as our foundation, and from them extrapolate forward. All such extrapolations–regardless of the credentials of those putting them forth–must be considered pure opinion. Time alone, will allow these extrapolations to be verified or nullified. Topics and themes explored include: nanotechnology and biotechnology; organlegging and organ transplants, molecular manufacturing and computers wired directly into the human brain; extropianism, transhumanism and the technology of individual immortality; terrorism, globalization, global warming and nuclear proliferation; cryonics and cryogenics; genetic engineering and the human genome project; embryos, cloning and stem cell research; astronomy and other space explorations (NASA, Hubble, exoplanets, SETI, ESA, CCCP, lasers and space probes); the singularity, robots, robotics and artificial intelligence (AI); remote sensing and waldoes; legal and illegal uses of the Internet (hackers and hacking, viruses and Trojan horses); solar cells, peak oil and alternative energy; aging and medical longevity; FTL (faster than light travel, as in Star Trek and Star Wars) and worm holes (as in StarGate SG-1); progress in health, education and neuroscience, as well as evolution, agriculture and inventions; and how what was once science fiction and fantasy is now biology, chemistry and physics. Everything from futurism to futurology. To learn more, check the show’s website at: www.TheFutureAndYou.com

Categories: Science, Technology

Tags: ai, artificial, biotechnology, engineering, future, futurology, genetic, intelligence, nanotechnology, prediction, science, Singularity, Transhumanism

Tom, Bea, and Ernie share their gift of Video Game Divination! Witness glimpses into the future from their crystal ball! Hear veritable verdicts from the Special 7 Sphere! And revel in the triumphs and follies of their past predictions in the Reckoning Roost!

Categories: Uncategorised

Tags: 7, and, ball, crystal, Fun, game, games, prediction, prophets, seven, video